President Trump began recasting America’s role in
the global economy Monday, canceling an agreement for a sweeping trade deal
with Asia as one of his first official White House actions.
After meeting with
business executives to discuss the U.S. manufacturing industry, Trump headed to
the Oval Office to sign an executive order formally ending the United States’
participation in the Trans-Pacific Partnership. The move was largely symbolic --
the deal was unlikely to make it through Congress -- but it served to signal
that Trump’s tough talk on trade during the campaign will carry over to his new
administration.
That could point to contentious negotiations over
the North American Free Trade Agreement down the road. Trump repeatedly
promised to reopen the 22-year-old deal with Mexico and Canada while on the campaign trail, and in brief remarks
Monday he reiterated his threat to punish U.S. companies that build factories
abroad.
Trump’s protectionist
rhetoric is part of a global backlash against the drive toward greater
internationalization that has existed since the end of World War II. British
Prime Minister Theresa May, who is in the midst of navigating her country’s own
break from established trading partners, is slated to visit with Trump later
this week. A White House spokesman said meetings with Canadian Prime Minister
Justin Trudeau and Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto are in the works.“What
we want is fair trade,” Trump said during his meeting with executives. “And
we're going to treat countries fairly, but they have to treat us fairly.”
Among the business
leaders Trump met with Monday was Dow Chemical Chief Executive Andrew Liveris,
who said the the president tasked the executives to return in 30 days with a
plan to shore up the manufacturing industry. He said there was extensive
discussion of Trump’s threat to impose border tax on U.S. companies that build
factories in other countries and ship the goods back home -- a proposal that is
shaping up to be a centerpiece of Trump’s trade policy.“I would take the
president at his word here,” Liveris said. “He’s not going to do anything to
harm competitiveness. He’s going to actually make us all more competitive.”
Still, it remains
unclear exactly how the tax would be implemented. Testifying before the Senate
Finance Committee last week, Trump’s nominee to lead the Treasury Department
said any border tax would be targeted at specific businesses. However, the
president does not have the power to levy taxes, and international trade
experts have warned that singling out companies could violate existing
treaties.
House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) has proposed
allowing businesses that export goods to deduct many of their expenses, while
those that import would not receive the same benefit. But in a recent interview
with the Wall Street Journal, Trump dismissed the plan, known as border
adjustment, as “too complicated.”
Economists have
warned that many of Trump’s proposals -- including suggestions that he would
impose blanket double-digit tariffs on goods from Mexico and China -- could
backfire on the American economy by causing prices to rise or igniting a trade
war. And business groups such as the U.S. Chamber of Commerce had lobbied
extensively for passage of TPP, touting the deal as an engine of job growth and
an important check on China’s growing ambitions.
“TPP withdrawal
will slow US [economic] growth, cost American jobs, & weaken US standing in
Asia/world,” said Richard Haas, president of the Council on Foreign Relations,
said in a tweet early Monday. “China could well be principal beneficiary.”But
other industry groups argued that Trump’s approach would better leverage
America’s status as the world’s largest economy.
Scott Paul, president of the Alliance for American
Manufacturing, said his group is hoping that opening up NAFTA could provide
more leeway to combat currency manipulation in countries outside the agreement.
His group, which represents both industry and unions, is also seeking more stringent
rules of origin that dictate how much production must occur with member
countries to qualify for free trade status.“The details are going to matter a
lot,” Paul said. “Renegotiating NAFTA obviously entails some risks and some
rewards.”
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